Population Growth

Texas is the fastest-growing state in the nation. Current population of 29.7 million is projected to reach 55 million or more by 2070โ€”nearly doubling in just 45 years.

This growth is concentrated in urban areas:

  • Dallas-Fort Worth: Adding millions of new residents
  • Houston Metro: Continued expansion
  • Austin-San Antonio Corridor: Explosive growth

Every new resident needs water. Every new business needs water. Every new home needs water.

Supply Gap

Current water infrastructure was designed for a smaller Texas. The gap between supply and demand is widening:

YearPopulationWater DemandAvailable SupplyGap
202029.7M18.4M AF/yr17.8M AF/yr0.6M AF
204038.5M22.1M AF/yr17.2M AF/yr4.9M AF
207055.0M+26.8M AF/yr15.8M AF/yr11.0M AF

Source: Texas Water Development Board projections

Traditional surface water sources face increasing stress from:

  • Climate variability: More frequent and severe droughts
  • Environmental flows: Legal requirements to maintain river ecosystems
  • Competing demands: Agriculture, industry, municipalities all need more

The Marvin Nichols Controversy

For decades, the proposed solution to North Texas water needs has been the Marvin Nichols Reservoirโ€”a massive impoundment in East Texas that would flood over 66,000 acres of productive farmland and timber.

The controversy illustrates why traditional approaches are failing:

Regional conflict: East Texas residents see their land and livelihoods sacrificed for Dallas-Fort Worth growth. Legal battles have persisted for 40+ years with no resolution in sight.

The Marvin Nichols approach:

  • Displaces rural communities
  • Destroys productive agricultural land
  • Faces decades of legal challenges
  • Pits Texas regions against each other
  • Depends on rainfall that climate change makes less reliable

There is a better way.

Economic Stakes

Without adequate water supply, Texas faces severe economic consequences:

  • $153 billion in potential annual economic damages by 2070
  • Lost business development opportunities
  • Reduced agricultural output
  • Declining quality of life

Water scarcity doesn’t just mean dry tapsโ€”it means lost jobs, stalled growth, and economic decline.

The cost of inaction far exceeds the cost of building drought-proof infrastructure.

See How We Solve This

The Texas Water Backbone offers a path forward that doesn't pit regions against each other.

Explore the Solution